April Fools in Saudi Arabia: Abdication and Political Brawls in the Arabian Peninsula…….

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

Rumors spread on the Internet this past week of Saudi King Abdullah abdicating in favor of Crown Prince Salman. The king is about 90 years old, give or take a few years. That would make Prince Muqrin the next Crown Prince. Muqrin was appointed recently as a Crown Prince to the Crown Prince, wtf that be.

That move rankled Prince Talal bin Abdulaziz, the father of prince-about-town I-am-richer-than Forbes-claims Al-Waleed. Talal is easily rankled because he is not influential in these decisions and is never picked for promotion. He has been out of the loop for decades, ever since he flew to Cairo with bunch of others and joined Nasser’s call for revolution. Eventually he came back home, although not fully trusted. He has about as much hope of becoming King of Saudi Arabia as Saad Hariri has. Which is a much better chance than I have of ruling Saudi Arabia.

Rumors and speculation have been around for some time that the king wants to make sure his own son, Met’eb, will be in the direct line for succession after Muqrin. That would mean a clash between Met’eb and Mohammed Bin Nayef, the man in charge of police, security, religious police, arrests, prisons, and most violations of human rights. Arab media rumor has it that the Americans (the government not the people) prefer Mohammed Bin Nayef as the future king, although it is not clear why. Mohammed has been visiting Washington DC quite a few times, so maybe he and his camp are spreading the rumor. Apparently Met’eb is not a regular visitor of Washington. Met’eb will need all the help his dad can give before he dies.

I’m beginning to suspect that this abdication rumor was a lead up to April Fools Day.

Cheers

mhg

[email protected]

Last Cliché of a Sad Love Story: the West’s Last Syrian Front, Syrian Revolutionary Front…….

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

“The rebel leader touted as the West’s last hope to stem the tide of extreme jihadist groups in Syria has said he will not fight against al-Qa’ida, and openly admits to battling alongside them. Speaking from a safe house on the outskirts of the Turkish town of Antakya, Jamal Maarouf, the leader of the Syrian Revolutionary Front (SRF) told The Independent that the fight against al-Qa’ida was “not our problem” and admitted his fighters conduct joint operations with Jabhat al-Nusra – the official al-Qa’ida branch in Syria……………..”

This sad love story is three years old. This cliché-ridden civil war is three years old. It has been like a roller-coaster ride, which civil wars usually are:

  • Western powers, mainly the Obama administration, have been seeking a true love among the ‘Syrian rebels’. This has been going on since 2011, when Arab kings and Shaikhs and their Salafis told them that the days of Bashar Al Assad are numbered. The “days of Assad are numbered” was picked up and repeated by American politicians, from Hillary Clinton to Mr. Obama to the houses of Congress. It became the modern version of other clichés: “Mission Accomplished” and “Light and the End of the Tunnel”. 
  • Senator John McCain and his merry band of Joe Lieberman and Lindsey Graham practically camped on the Turkish-Syrian border, making occasional illegal (call it undocumented) incursions inside Syria. They predicted that Bashar will be out soon.
  • Persian Gulf Salafis and Muslim Brotherhood and tribal Wahhabi-liberal types pressured some governments to close Syrian embassies early on. They distributed celebratory soft drinks and sweets too soon, apparently. Saudi princes eyed their coming new territory, their expected client state in Damascus. They were already working to regain their other nearly-lost client state in Cairo, which they fully regained with the military coup of July 3 of 2013. 
  • Meanwhile Jihadis from Al-Qaeda and other affiliated groups flocked into Syria from porous borders, with entry facilitated by humorless neighbors in Turkey and Jordan and Al-Anbar and by the Hariri right-wing Saudi proxy March 14 movement in Lebanon. They also came from Europe and South Asia. As did their earthly rewards, their women houris on this earth, maidens from Tunisia and other points, as the Tunisian Interior Minister publicly complained last year.
  • They all came out swinging when the Obama administration realized Jabhat Al-Nusra was Al-Qaeda, and said so. They swore that the Americans were misrepresenting the group, while the group continued to chop heads and slit throats and kidnap civilians. The same goes for others: the Free Syrian Army FSA was caught kidnapping civilians, executing some, and occasionally eating their body parts (uncooked).
  • Then there were the periodic changes inside the SNC (both of them), and the changes within the leaders of the FSA. All insider coups that changed leaders every few weeks. Meanwhile, the Jihadists took over the Syrian ‘rebellion’: not the political PR side, but the actual military control. The others remained in Turkey or Jordan or the Gulf mouthing moderate talk, looking acceptable to the West, while on the ground the war was between the Al Assad regime and the Al Qaeda Jihadists. It still is. 
  • The Al Saud finally appointed their own leader for Syria, Mr. Ahmad Al Jarba, a tribal type appointed by extremely corrupt and un-revolutionary absolute tribal princes as head of the ‘Syrian Revolution’. A toothless figurehead to bless the hoped for victories of the Jihadis: a victory ‘strategic’ that never came. They also reportedly formed their own “Syrian” militias.
  • The United States wisely stayed out of it, at least in a direct sense. Mr. Obama dipped his toes through Turkey and Jordan, mostly under pressure from European and Arab allies who were hoping for a victory bought with American blood. But the prospect of Jihadis carrying ground-to-air missiles wreaking havoc with air traffic along the Mediterranean coast has wisely kept Obama from supplying the weapons ‘directly’. So far he knows that if you buy it, which is the same as breaking it, you own it. But the ‘allies’, the repressive would-be tribal liberators of Syria, keep finding new ‘Syrian’ suitors for his affections and his weapons.
Cheers

mhg

[email protected]

 

Foreign Jihadi Accents in Syria: ISIS Mourns a ‘Nom de Polygamie’ of the Caucasus……….

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

Listened to a tape of a rant by a claimed leader of ISIS, Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (Sham). His nom de guerre (and nom de polygamie) Shaikh Abu Muhammad al-’Adnani as-Shami. The added last name , Al-Shami, is supposed to indicate he is from Syria (smaller Syria but also greater Syria). But I doubt that. One thing is almost certain: he is not Syrian. His recorded Arabic is generic classical, but his accent (how letters are pronounced) is NOT Syrian. Almost certainly not Iraqi, something about the inflection of his speech, but I can be wrong on rare occasions. He sounds much more Saudi, or another GCC Gulfie, or maybe Yemeni. Not Syrian.

In addition to the rant, I found out that a ‘knight of Islam’, Shaikh Leader Feuhrer Doko Omarov Abu Othman, from the Islamic Emirate of Caucasus (WTF that be) has died. He is expected to go to Paradise, according to the ISIS leader. (You can count on one thing about Salafis: they claim they are Muslims, and they always tell the truth about one thing and only one thing. They would not lie about death: never deny a death nor claim a death that did not happen. Which is about their only true concession to Islam and the truth).

Cheers

mhg

[email protected]

Kessab and a Tale of Two Anfals: Minorities of Syria, Kurds of Iraq, Ghost of Saddam..…

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

“A social media campaign to prevent a “genocide of Armenians!” in the scenic Syrian mountain resort town of Kasab exploded recently, in the latest example of how 21st century communications technology can spread as much disinformation as it does information. The Armenian diaspora community was shaken late last month when the town of Kasab and surrounding areas fell quickly out of the regime’s control, as part of the “Al-Anfal” coastal campaign launched by rebels and jihadists………….”

Distinguishing rebels and Jihadists is just pure wishful thinking on the part of Western governments, an idea aided and abetted by tribal absolute family rulers in the Arabian Peninsula. There is no operational difference, and if there is any, it is in that the fighting is mostly done by the Jihadists.

What is ominous about this new front at Kessab is that they named it Al-Anfal, a Sura or chapter of the Holy Quran related to “Spoils or Booty of War”. It is also the name that Saddam Hussein gave his genocidal campaign against Iraqi Kurds in the 1980s. That was when he used chemical weapons supplied by European companies with Saudi and Arab money. That was when many Kurds perished, especially at Halabja. That was when most, nay almost all, Arab regimes and media either ignored or denied the genocide.

The Jihadists have a track record of genocide, not just in Syria and Iraq but across the world. Their raison d’etre is to kill off ‘the others’.

Cheers

mhg

[email protected]

France Starting Delivery on its Saudi Deal: America and the Infrastructure Gap…….

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

“France has taken the first steps toward proposing a Security Council resolution that would refer Syria to the International Criminal Court for the prosecution of war crimes, diplomats said Friday, an action long sought by rights advocates. Although Russia might well veto such a resolution, the diplomats said, it could still embarrass the Kremlin, the Syrian government’s most important foreign supporter, at a time when the Russians already face isolation over the crisis in Ukraine. The diplomats also cautioned that such a resolution risked alienating the Russians, whose cooperation in pressuring the Syrian government is considered vital. The diplomats spoke on the condition of anonymity because a draft of the resolution is still under negotiation……………”

It doesn’t matter. It will not pass, and everybody knows it. But the French socialists are moving in the direction they have promised in their Saudi deal. They will have made their point to their Al Saud partners and bankrollers. That was the recent deal between the French ‘socialists’ and the repressive absolute princes: money and trade in exchange for a more robust French stance on Syria and Lebanon and the Persian Gulf. Politically robust, not militarily robust.

For the latter, for military robustness, they need to talk Obama into starting another war, since the Europeans are not willing to spend their own blood and treasure in Middle East wars. They are smarter than the US Congress (both houses, both parties): the Europeans know they need the money to build and maintain their infrastructure. So, let the Americans do it all: they have been doing it since 1942.

American politicians have let the infrastructure at home age and go unrepaired while loading up on weapons and deployment across the globe. Bad roads, old modes of transportation, and risky bridges and schools and other buildings become more costly with time, and harder to repair. They also pause a greater future danger to the American home front than any bunch of Wahhabi Jihadists.

Cheers
mhg

[email protected]

Nasrallah of Hezbollah and the Sweaty Palmed Arab Salesmen: Predictions on Syria………

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

Hassan Nasrallah of Lebanese Hezbollah (to distinguish it from all the alleged Hezbollahs of Texas, Bahrain, Egypt, Finland, and others) is one Arab leader who shows supreme confidence in what he says. Possibly the only one: it comes from both his enunciation and his body language. He makes almost all other Arab leaders look like sweaty-palmed snake-oil salesmen (most of them are). That is undeniable, whatever you think of his ‘politics’. I have opined in the past that the Israeli Mossad probably regrets having assassinated the Hezbollah leader who preceded him, thus allowing him to move up the leadership ladder.

What he says now in an interview in the daily As-Safir is that: (1) the danger of Salafi terrorist bombings in Lebanon has abated because of ‘certain measures’ along the border in both Lebanon and Syria. Meaning that the continued Jihadist defeats in the southern front of the Syrian war have reduced the flow and the risks; (2) more important, he assures his audience that the “danger” of the Syrian regime falling has ended. He also added that the danger of a division of Syria has also been “overcome”.

He has also opined that both Northern and Southern fronts in Syria are improving. But he added what most people now expect: that the Russian position of support for the Syrian regime will solidify in the coming weeks. Probably a reference to the post-Ukraine relations with the West.

Essentially
he is claiming that the Syrian civil war has been won by one side, the side he supports. All this is no doubt based on the outcome of the battles of the past twelve years. Yet predicting the outcome of a civil war is risky: this may come back to bite Nasrallah. Civil wars have a way of seesawing and surprising: remember when almost everybody claimed that the days of Bashar Al Assad were numbered? That was three years ago.

Cheers
mhg

[email protected]

Gambia of Kunta Kinte: Yahya’s Choice between the Arab League and the GCC………

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

“Gambia’s president Yahya Jammeh has said he will soon discontinue the use of English as his country’s official language, describing it as “colonial legacy”. The plan appears to be to make a local language the country’s official one, but reports have also emerged suggesting Arabic will replace English. Speaking at the swearing-in ceremony of the country’s newly appointed Chief Justice, Jammeh — known for his anti-western rhetoric and policies — said for the next “one billion years”, the British have “no moral platform to talk about human rights anywhere in the world”. Gambia gained its independence from the UK 49 year ago, and the president stated that the only British remnant is the English language……………..”

“A former Gambian Chief Justice who was sacked by President Yahya Jammeh for allegedly taking orders from an embassy of a ‘hostile’ country has gone into hiding. Mrs Mable Ayemang, fled her government allocated abode in Fajara hours after her services with the Government of President Yahya were terminated on 4th February 2014. The Ghanaian born judge who was appointed to the top job in July 2013 has not been seen in public and is unable to hand over matters of the judiciary to her successor…………..”

This is a throwback to the 1960s. When some African absolute leader screwed up real good, he would blast the former colonial masters. Some of the ‘blasting’ was well-deserved, as in the case of Lumumba and the Congo, and many others. Europeans, especially outside the British Empire, did little to get their captive peoples ready for independence. Some of it was just scapegoating the old European imperial goats. Often it was a combination of both. But that is an old argument of another era.
I remember Gambia mainly as the ancestral home of Kunta Kinte and Alex Haley. Yahya ought to apply to the Arab League of Dunces, they would welcome him. Better yet, he should be told that the Saudi king has been looking for new members of the Gulf GCC, new blood, fresh meat, so to speak. The old king teased humorless Jordan and faraway Morocco for three years before finally breaking it off, old teaser that he is.

He, the king, toyed with Egypt, sans the Muslim Brotherhood, but that is on a slow burner, given the unpredictability of Egypt’s current mood. After all it is hard to tell of Egypt is in a post-revolutionary phase or if it is in yet another pre-revolutionary phase. Maybe the Mubarak-ista plan to exhaust the people into submission to the return of the old oligarchy will fail after all. Remember the failed Russian Revolution of 1905 preceded the successful Russian Revolution(s) of 1917: the king may not know about that but he knows that Egypt in unsettled. Besides, he must have an inkling of how the Egyptian people really feel about his Kingdom without Magic.


Therefore
, Mr. Yahyayaya ought to dispatch his foreign minister (if he is not on the run and hiding) to Qatar seeking to fill that void in the GCC membership. The Saudi princes will get pissed at him for going to Qatar, but they will get a country they can push around from a safe distance (Bahrain is too close to Qatif for comfort).

Cheers

mhg

[email protected]

Syrian Jihadists Claim New WMD Use, Seymour Hersh and Chemical Caliph Erdogan……

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

The newest claim of WMD use was headlined last week in Alarabiya.net, the semi-official Saudi network. Alarabiya has been the favorite network to pass on opposition Jihadi claims of Syrian regime use of WMD. Which is one reason I usually immediately suspected every and each claim. The latest claim was apparently taken down, or maybe just pushed into the back ‘pages’ soon after:

“Syrian opposition activists again accused President Bashar al-Assad’s forces of using chemical weapons near the capital Damascus on Thursday, publishing the video of an apparently unconscious man lying on a bed and being treated by medics. The alleged attack on the neighborhood of Jobar comes a week after the Syrian government sent a letter to the United Nations claiming it had evidence that rebel groups were planning a toxic gas attack in the same area, Reuters reported. Activists from the opposition “Jobar Revo” group posted the video on YouTube of a man being treated with oxygen and being injected by medics. A voice off-screen said Thursday’s date and that there was “a poison attack in Jobar.” …………..”

This excerpt next is from Seymour Hersh’s latest (allegedly controversial) writing on this topic and his allegations about Turkey’s Erdogan:

 “The British report heightened doubts inside the Pentagon; the joint chiefs were already preparing to warn Obama that his plans for a far-reaching bomb and missile attack on Syria’s infrastructure could lead to a wider war in the Middle East. As a consequence the American officers delivered a last-minute caution to the president, which, in their view, eventually led to his cancelling the attack. For months there had been acute concern among senior military leaders and the intelligence community about the role in the war of Syria’s neighbours, especially Turkey. Prime Minister Recep Erdoğan was known to be supporting the al-Nusra Front, a jihadist faction among the rebel opposition, as well as other Islamist rebel groups. ‘We knew there were some in the Turkish government,’ a former senior US intelligence official, who has access to current intelligence, told me, ‘who believed they could get Assad’s nuts in a vice by dabbling with a sarin attack inside Syria ………………..” 

As I said, Alarabiya has been the source of almost all claims of WMD use in Syria. Syrian “activists” be they in Syria or Turkey or Riyadh or Paris, usually spread their claims through Alarabiya. Western media pick them up and make them into absolute undeniable facts. I still don’t know if any of the claims are facts or not. Mr. Obama seems to be not as convinced as the French or the British, for example, and for good reason. The French have their own Saudi axes to grind here, and Cameron faced a very skeptical Parliament on the issue. Senator McCain seemed to be getting ready to storm ashore at Latakia, until Mr. Putin adroitly diverted him with Ukraine and the Crimea.I have posted on this topic many times, so there is no need to provide links here: just search for WMD under this blog.

Cheers

mhg[email protected]

 

Cultural Dichotomy: Destroying Islamic Monuments, Funding Ancient Roman Restoration……

      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

“A training barracks used by Roman gladiators and the 2,000-year-old mausoleum of the Emperor Augustus could be restored with money from the Saudi royal family, in the latest effort by Italy to secure funding for its crumbling cultural heritage. In a deal brokered by Ignazio Marino, the mayor of Rome, the Saudi royals are to provide millions of euros to pay for the restoration of some of the capital’s neglected monuments. The government in Riyadh has been presented with a dossier of nine historic sites to choose from, with greatest interest said to be in the Emperor Augustus’s mausoleum, a giant, circular structure near the Tiber River that has been virtually abandoned for decades……………” 


No doubt it is a public relations stunt for the benefits of the Europeans. To show that the princes do care about culture and historic monuments. At home, they are doing something quite different, they are doing the exact opposite.
The princes have been eagerly destroying the remnants of early Islamic monuments. From the homes of the Prophet Mohammed and his sahaba (companions) to other famous monuments and graves. As I have often opined here, this has been a result of a combination of Wahhabi hatred of history and royal greed that seeks to expropriate and develop valuable land in central zones of (especially) Mecca and also Madinah. Here are links to some earlier posts which also link to outside sources:


Breaking News: Prince of Mecca Receives Mayor of Mecca, Holy Town is Doomed

Destroyers of Islamic Heritage, Looters of Mecca

Holy Greed: Paris Hilton Does Mecca, Takes Over Prophet Mohammed’s Childhood Home


Saudi Culture: Bulldozing the Graves of Mohammed and Omar into Las Vega
s

Cheers

mhg

[email protected]

From BC: Romance at the Calico Cupboard Old Town Cafe & Bakery, Romance at the Sheep and Goat Market………


      


Follow ArabiaDeserta on Twitter

Came back from a biking trip to BC (the other one, the BC del Norte) in which I almost broke my nose, again. Almost.
On the way back south we stopped at a place near Mt. Vernon (in WA, PNW, not “the one” in Virginia). Oddly it is not too far from Arlington (WA, PNW, not Virginia). The place has the irresistible name of Calico Cafe. Its full name is even more irresistible: Calico Cupboard Old Town Cafe & Bakery.

Someone had told me that colleagues and acquaintances go there for a romantic time. I dunno: an interesting place with truly delicious pastry verging on being evil. But a romantic bakery? Only if you believe that the way to anyone’s heart is through their artery via their stomach. At the cafe, I could not resist mentioning in passing that as far as romance is concerned it is equivalent to the Sheep and Goat Market back home on the (Persian) Gulf. I said it in Arabic (سوق الغنم), which I then had to translate to incredulous listeners. Someone snorted: “Romance in a Sheep and Goat Market?“; I snorted back: “Romance at the Calico Cupboard Old Town Cafe & Bakery?” I have to admit: the latter sounds much more likely, and it is. After all: the almond croissant and the bread pudding are absolutely satanic. The latter beats Um Ali.

Besides, the Calico characters don’t look to have come straight out of the Central Casting choice for Indiana Jones. Maybe some other film series.

Cheers

mhg

[email protected]