Delusions about Syria and Iraq: Should Ignatius Stick to Writing Novels?………

      


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“Political cover for the campaign to co-opt the Sunnis and defeat ISIS in Iraq and Syria could come from the Gulf Cooperation Council. This alliance of Gulf monarchies has sometimes been toothless in the past, but recently it has worked effectively to keep Yemen from splintering, and it can play a key role now, working in tandem with fellow monarch King Abdullah of Jordan. The GCC should call for an immediate summit with Iran to discuss the crisis in Syria and Iraq. At the same time (hopefully with Iranian acquiescence), it should call for a GCC or Arab League stabilization force to be deployed in Sunni areas of Iraq and Syria. As the coalition broadens to include the United States (and hopefully Russia and China, whose anti-ISIS sentiments match America’s), this stabilization force can resemble the broad coalition that liberated Kuwait from Iraq in 1991, or the so-called “Arab Deterrent Force” that stabilized Lebanon after the worst years of its civil war in 1975 and ’76……………..”

FYI: that “Arab Deterrent Army” he refers to was the Syrian Army, which stayed in Lebanon until a few years ago. He should just call it by what it is: the Syrian Army of Hafez Al Assad.

I don’t know what kind of sense of humor David Ignatius has. But he is pushing to get the Saudis and Qataris and the Emiratis into Syria and Iraq ‘to keep order’, and with Iranian blessing. That is a no go, DOA. Imagine any Iraqi (or Syrian) government welcoming these clowns into its territory, after all they have done to destabilize their regimes and after sending and funding thousands of Jihadist terrorists to kill their civilians.

And here is why I mentioned the ‘sense of humor’: several of these regimes engage foreign mercenaries to maintain the internal security in their own countries (and repress their peoples). They can’t even form a reliable police force. How can one expect them to help pacify Iraq or Syria? Would they send their imported foreign mercenaries? And how would they fare in battle against the Wahhabi Jihadists and Hezbollah?

Would the Iranians accept a summit with the GCC over Syria and Iraq? Shouldn’t the Iraqis and Syrians be behind all this? The
Iranians will more likely prefer to discuss such matters with the
parties that really count, the United States, not some strutting
potentates.



I must agree that Ignatius certainly thinks outside the box here. But the best “thinking outside the box” is the work of fiction. Maybe he should stick to fiction as far as the Middle East is concerned. Didn’t he write some fiction a couple of years ago about Mr. Arbabsiar, the Texas Iranian who conspired with the Mexican Drug Cartels and Hezbollah and Colombians to blow up the not-so-important Saudi ambassador in Washington? I recall Ignatius was reassured that the plot was wider and spread all the way to the Persian Gulf. I recall that he was reassured of the extension of the plot by security officials of Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. No LOL is needed on that last one.

Cheers
mhg

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Iraq: Rumors of War and Politicking at a Convenient Time………

      


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CNBC reporter this morning in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan: the Obama administration is trying to pick an alternative to Al Maliki to be Iraq’s next prime minister.
It does seem suspicious all his recent flurry of military and terrorist and political moves, the timing of it all. That the terrorists of the ISIS and Baathist remnants in northern Iraq started their assault on Iraq just after the elections. Just as they were haggling to pick a new government. Was it time to affect the politics? Was it aimed to get rid of Al Maliki? Did they coordinate it with brotherly and sisterly (and maybe motherly) neighboring despotic Arab regimes who facilitate the financing and pull their strings? You betcha…………

Saudi-backed Iyad (or is it Ayad) Allawi, the perennial quasi-Baathist candidate is out in public again. He is publicly pissed at the Americans for not making him prime minister of Iraq in 2009-10 when he could not get enough parliamentary votes to form a quasi-Baathist government. That Saudi-Qatari-UAE attempt at a political coup in Baghdad failed, as I had fatwa-d that it would. Allawi is railing at foreign (meaning Iranian) influence in the Iraqi government, even as he has been trying to get foreign powers, the U.S. and Gulf princes, to get him the job of prime minister of Iraq. His chances of ever getting the job would almost certainly require another American invasion of Iraq: that is how he got appointed to the (unelected) job last time.

Cheers
mhg

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A Religious Joke: a Gaggle of Sectarian and Exclusionary Muslims Meet in Jeddah and…………

      


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“The Saudi-based Organisation of Islamic Cooperation, representing more than 1.5 billion Muslims worldwide, affirmed Thursday a commitment to unity in combatting “sectarian” policies. A two-day meeting in the Red Sea city of Jeddah affirmed that OIC members will stand “united in combatting sectarian, confessional, and exclusion policies that have led to sedition in some countries and threatened their security and stability,” said a statement read by Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal……………..”

Irony may be dead. A meeting of countries with governments that are almost all sectarian and exclusionary. A meeting in Jeddah to fight against sectarianism and exclusionism, by governments that are now almost universally sectarian. Regardless of their sects.
Saud Al-Faisal, Saudi foreign minister for the past forty years, waxing poetic about the sectarianism and exclusion policies, in the heart of Sectarianism and Exclusion. This is like Al Capone railing against organized crime. It is like holding a meeting in 1938 in Berlin to combat Nazism. It is like holding a meeting in Riyadh to combat absolute monarchy. It is like holding a meeting at the U.S. Congress to combat lobbying influence. It is like holding a meeting in Tehran to promote open Internet access and freedom. It is like holding a meeting in Cairo to combat military influence in politics. It is like holding a meeting in Tel Aviv against Zionism. It is like, you probably get it by now………. ad nauseam.

Cheers
mhg

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A Dirty Open Secret of Malaysia: the Sectarian Angle, the Wahhabi Angle……

      


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“In early August, Malaysia’s Home Ministry secretary-general Datuk Seri Abdul Rahim Mohamad Radzi announced the growth of the minority Shia population along with government plans to root out the movement. Radzi said, “The development of information technology is among the factors for their growth as the teachings are spreading through a range of social sites,” adding that as such, measures to curb Shia practices will “involve the Home Ministry, the police, Registrar of Societies, control of publications under the Printing and Publication Act, curbing the production of CDs and DVDs by the Film Censorship Board and monitoring by the Immigration Department.”…………..” 

This statement by a Malaysian bureaucrat titled Datuk Seri Whatever sounds like something uttered by Dr. Josef Goebbels, Nazi Propaganda Minister of the German Reich.

Malaysia is more than just a country of incompetent feuding officials as we have seen from the fiasco of the MH370 tragedy. It is also another bi-polar Muslim state, while it tries to present a fake tolerant face to the outside world. Yet the country has been Wahhabi-ized over the past few decades. A couple of years ago in Malaysia, the Malaysian Islamic body, the regime’s National Fatwa Committee, went totally Wahhabi and announced that it is not permissible for Muslims to participate in any gathering or demonstration intended to oust a government. That is straight out of the playbook of the Saudi princes who use regime muftis and religious fatwas to stifle dissent.


Malaysia
is now a fully officially a sectarian society: it does have a Wahhabi problem which also has led to its “Shi’a” problem. In the sense that Shi’as are persecuted and are forced to practice their faith in secret. They usually have to practice their faith in privacy, and often these gatherings are raided by regime security police and people are actually arrested. Apparently the religious establishment in Malaysia is dominated and managed by Wahhabi hardliners. Which also means the ruling regime, the establishment, has become more intolerant and Wahhabi. It is as sectarian as, say, Egypt has been under Mubarak and Morsi and Sisi combined. 

Even though Malaysia is so far away from the Wahhabi heartland of Riyadh. Very few in the West are aware of that. This also means that Malaysia has a “Wahhabi” problem: since it is Wahhabi influence and ideology of hate that has led to its Shi’a “problem.

 

The country’s rulers, a bunch of Datuks and Seris, also treat its citizens, especially the women, quite different from how they treat Westerners. A few years ago there was the case of the native woman who walked into an establishment that legally serves alcohol: she reportedly ordered a beer and ended up being sentenced to death. Apparently she needed to become a foreign tourist and dye her blond to legally qualify to poison her mind and body.

Cheers

mhg

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GCC Expansion or Contraction? From the Deserts of Jordan through Tahrir Square to Lido de Paris………

      


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They are raising the issue of GCC confederation and expansion again. Bahrain shaikhs and elites, their country already almost annexed by Saudi occupation forces and having nothing to lose, are also pushing for it publicly and on social media. Wahhabi liberals on the Persian Gulf, who look to the absolute Saudi princes for Liberté etEgalité et Fraternité, are as excited about it as they probably can get excited about anything (save perhaps for one other thing). But as I have been saying since 2011 the Saudi idea ploy of confederation has always been DOA.

There is even a revival of the idea of expansion, even as some claim the original GCC may be unraveling, well maybe at least weakening. At least the long-existing differences cannot be swept under the rug anymore. Just as a couple of GCC countries seem ready to bolt out of the stifling Saudi embrace. Yet there is new absurd talk of Egypt being asked to join: the media told us Al Sisi and a gaggle of Al Nahayans had some sort of joint Jane Fonda military exercises last week.

We
know that the Saudi princes have been seeking pliable partners to expand the Gulf GCC. Except that there are no more pliable partners left. They have tried with <href=”http:> Jordan in 2011, but then King Abdul in Amman called one of his funny but humorless elections, and the princes don’t cotton up to elections, even funny humorless elections in Jordan. Some GCC potentates quickly and untruthfully claimed they were postponing Jordanian accession until after Ramadan (of 2011). They also invited faraway Morocco to apply for membership, but that was before the King of Morocco called elections which were won by what passes for the Moroccan branch of the Muslim Brotherhood. Alas, Morocco has no Generalisimo Field Marshal Al Sisi who can set things right after undesirable election results.

Now rumors have it that the princes have been toying with reliably counter-revolutionary Egypt as a possible member, initially that was on the table in 2012 as a ploy to keep the Muslim Brotherhood from winning the last election. Some wags have even claimed that since Crimea voted for secession the princes had thought that maybe they can get that region to join the GCC, but Vladimir Putin quickly beat them to it with this annexation thing.

Back to the drawing board. Morocco and Jordan and Egypt may still look good as targets of Saudi wooing. But speaking of wooing: the Saudi princes are notorious polygamists, much more so than any Westerner, even a French president like Francois Hollande. Polygamy can be added as their middle name: Polygamous Kingdom of Saudi Arabia sounds correct while “Polygamous French Republic” sounds so wrong even if true, especially in French.

I suspect, nay I know, that all of these one-night-stand candidates have less chance of joining the GCC than Turkey has of joining the European Union. Less chance now than the State of Mississippi has of joining the Organization of Islamic Countries. All of them together have about as much chance of becoming GCC members as I have of becoming the next Mufti of Saudi Arabia (or a mufti of anywhere else for that matter).

Cheers
mhg

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Baghdad on the Nile? Egyptian Kangaroo Courts add Drug Charges to Morsi Trials……

      


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“All Arab political courts are like bad jokes, except to their victims.” Me?


“A son of deposed Islamist president Mohamed Morsi will face trial for alleged possession and use of hashish, judicial sources said on Monday, but no date has yet been fixed. Abdullah Morsi, 19, was arrested on March 1 along with a friend for allegedly possessing two joints while they were in a car parked by the roadside in Qalyubia province north of Cairo. The two were freed the next day pending investigation after agreeing to give urine samples which the prosecution says tested positive. Morsi’s other son Osama has denied the charges against Abdullah, saying the authorities were “fabricating the case” and that his brother’s arrest was an attempt to “defame the family”……………..”

The judicial absurdity does not stop in Cairo, it gets even more absurd by the day. Now they are hounding the family of Morsi, in the true style of Saddam Hussein and his Baathist justice.

 
I wrote last month that: They are doing it again in Cairo. My special
source, snuck secretly into Cairo, reports that Egyptian courts have
been ordered to add some new charges to the litany of charges against
deposed president Morsi. The elected Mr. Morsi was deposed by a military coup d’etat led by Generalisimo Abdelfattah Al Sisi………..j
ust in case, just to make the case against
Morsi watertight, she reports they have decided to add new charges to
the old ones. The new charges could include contributing to global
warming, African threats of diverting Nile waters, the loss of East
Jerusalem to the Jews (King Hussein is dead), the jump in Syrian war
victims from 75 thousand dead to over 100 thousand dead during his year
in office, topless German tourists switching their sun
bathing-activities from Egypt to Cyprus, as well as any epidemic and natural
disaster that may befall Egypt and neighboring countries. She also reports that they toyed with a new charge against the doomed Morsi……………

Leaders in Retirement from France to America to Libya to Outer Space: So Where is Ahmadinejad?………

      


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So whatever happened to Iran’s former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad? Where is the favorite bête noire of the Western world for the past decade? The favorite son of New York City every late September? He has gone awfully and uncharacteristically quiet. Almost like any former U.S. president, with the exception of Clinton. We mostly know where former leaders are in the West (not necessarily where they should be) and what they are doing (or trying to do):


  • Write s book or two (memoirs to make a lot of money and explain their lousy policies.

  • Give speeches and lectures (mainly to make a lot of money).

  • Start some institute (to stay out of trouble, like Clinton).

  • Appear a lot on TV (like Clinton).

  • Appear a lot on media wherever someone interviews you (like Clinton.

  • Have a lot of fun, and I mean fun (like Clinton).

  • Start work on a (Walter Mitty?) presidential library. All US presidents do that since it is funded by the public and through donations.

  • In France former presidents don’t have time to waste on libraries. They must quickly start collecting lawyers for the upcoming inevitable investigations and possible trials for financial corruption. From accepting cash bribes to accepting diamonds from West African dictators.This has always been the case after de Gaulle.
  • Russia hasn’t had a former president for almost two decades. So we don’t really know what happens to them. Wait, I know: they become prime minister and are recycled again through the merry-go-round.

  • Start collecting money quickly by working as adviser for foreign potentates and unsavory dictators as well as working as a lobbyist for corporations. Tony Blair of Britain is the only one that fits this bill so far: Churchill and Wilson and Thatcher would not think of it, the fools.

  • In Lebanon, nobody gives a f-ck what a former president says or does. Come to think of it, in Lebanon nobody gives a f-ck what a current president says or does.

  • In Syria and Egypt and Algeria and Libya and other Arab countries there is no such thing as a former president. If they don’t kill him quickly, they put him on trial for real or (mostly) trumped up charges. They end up hanging him or keeping him in prison for life. Probably serves them right in most cases.

  • Retire to the French or Italian Riviera (usually former kings are entitled to do that).

  • Host a talk show?

  • Die quickly.

Mr. Ahmadinejad has done none of the above, yet. He may start teaching at the university again. I did read somewhere that he is pushing a new college (no, not for Holocaust Studies and Verification). Then there is the Iranian Space Program and the promise to send a human into space within the next two years. He has expressed a desire to think about it.

Too bad no Arab country has a manned space program. I wish they all did, the whole Arab League from Syria down to Riyadh and through Somalia: imagine the possibilities. One can dream………..

Cheers

mhg

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Iran’s Baffling Holocaust Problem: a No-Win Nowruz Mystery………

      


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““A nation that is not strong will be oppressed,” Khamenei, 74, speaking from his hometown of Mashhad on the Nowruz holiday, said Friday. Iran should not count on “when the enemy will lift the sanctions,” he warned. In the most controversial of his remarks Friday, Khamenei said the West accuses Iran of restricting free expression, but in many parts of Europe and the West, Holocaust denial is against the law. “Expressing opinion about the Holocaust, or casting doubt on it, is one of the greatest sins in the West,” Khamenei said. “They prevent this, arrest the doubters, try them while claiming to be a free country.” “They passionately defend their red lines,” Khamenei said. “How do they expect us to overlook our red lines………………….”

Ali Khamenei was absolutely right about the West loving its own “red lines’ while denying them to others. But he sure picked the wrong issue to make his case.

Inserting the Holocaust into his Nowruz (Persian New Year) message, as the foreign media report, was not a smart thing nor an appropriate thing to do, and I am being painfully polite here. Former Iranian president Ahmadinejad became known for his Holocaust-baiting as for anything else, especially in the United States. He practically was seen to ‘own’ that issue. Of course he is not stupid: he knew exactly what had happened in Europe.
This has been a no-win issue for Iran and it is not clear why Ahmadinejad harped on it. I know he was available for American media appearances every September, and they hoped to make headlines by goading him: but that was fair, it is the media business. He was a leader, and should have known what was going on. That, as much as anything else, helped sell the Israeli mantra of an “existential threat”. That, as much as the nuclear issue, explains why every congressional bill and resolution that tightened the blockade on Iran passed almost unanimously in the U.S. Senate and Congress.

With
Ahmadinejad gone, Supreme Leader Khamenei seems eager to pick up the slack in Holocaust-baiting:
“Khamenei.ir ‏@khamenei_ir Mar 21: #Holocaust is an event whose reality is uncertain and if it has happened, it’s uncertain how it has happened 

Maybe the Ayatollah, an educated man who speaks several languages, is not a man of the world after all. Maybe he is not aware of the damage this absurd position does to his country. It is a silly, nay stupid issue to raise with nothing to gain for it, and it is the wrong position on principle. And it does not reflect how most Iranians feel.

When it comes to this issue, it is best for every Iranian leader, every politician, and every diplomat to just shut up. They just can’t seem to help putting their dumb feet deeper into it.Cheers

mhg

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Humorless Egyptian Junta Seeks to Set World Record for Executions………

      


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Egyptian regime courts today sentenced a whopping 529 people to death. All were charged and convicted for being supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood, the party that won Egypt’s only free elections in 2012. The Muslim Brotherhood is now considered a “terrorist” group in Egypt (and among its Saudi and UAE backers). In this Egypt under military rule is seeking to set a new Guinness record for execution, bypassing China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the USA (still including Texas). (No reliable figures are available for North Korea).

At this rate, Egypt will switch: from the most humorous Middle East country it is heading towards becoming the most humorless country not only in the Arab world, not only in the Middle East. Possibly more humorless than Jordan and Palestine and Israel and Syria and Turkey and Iran: that would be quite an achievement. If we toss Libya and Algeria to the above mix, it would be a bad miracle (you can’t get less humorous than that in all of MENA). I suspect Egypt is well on the way to becoming the most humorless country south of the Korean Peninsula. That loss of humor also may qualify Egypt for eventual GCC membership.

That tells us one other thing: the military junta kangaroo courts will also sentence deposed president Morsi to death. Unless the Saudi King or some UAE potentate issues a reprieve reducing the death sentences to life in prison.

Cheers

mhg

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Another Arab Summit: One Vacant Seat, Many Vacuous Seats………

      


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“Syria’s seat at the upcoming Arab summit will be vacant despite the attendance of Syrian opposition leader Ahmed Jarba, Ahmed Bin Helli, deputy head of the Arab League, said Friday. Speaking after a preparatory summit meeting in Kuwait City, Bin Helli said Jarba would deliver a speech at the summit – scheduled for March 25 and 26 – as a legitimate representative of Syria……………..”

This Al Jarba claims to represent the Syrian people, but they have never elected him and possibly never will if given a free choice. He was elected by the Saudi princes to rule over Syria with the grudging approval of some five-star-hotel opposition figures. He has no more claim to rule than anyone else, including Al Assad.

Come to think of it: how many of the Arab leaders or head of government at the summit were elected by their peoples? The few who were “elected” were chosen through rigged and restrictive elections. Adly Mansour Al Zombie of military-ruled Egypt was appointed by the junta to help kill off all opponents of their rule through death sentences handed by kangaroo courts. That way the generals can point te finger at Al Zombie if anyone bothers to seek justice in the future. The President of Yemen Abd Rabbuh Hadi Something was selected by outside kings and allegedly got some 98% of the vote: a close second to Kim Jong-Un. I have no idea of the presidents of Somalia and Comoros and Mauretania and how they came to power.

The only leaders who came to power through electoral processes are those from Iraq and Lebanon and Tunisia and the first two (Lebanon and Iraq) are elected through purely sectarian and ethnic divisions of power.

Cheers

mhg

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