Category Archives: Uncategorized

From Jeddah to Damascus: a Tale of Apostasy and Inquisition and Death, a Promise of Democracy……..

      


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Ahmad Al Jarba is the Saudi-appointed leader of the Syrian Coalition of Something Opposition (the damn name keep changing every few months just as the leaders change, so I have lost track of the latest model). He was in Washington this past week, making what he has been told are the ‘right noises’, like opining that: “we seek to establish a civil democratic heterogeneous state in Syria………..”. Even as his Jihadi militia allies take hostages, chop heads, and kill, all based on identity.

Meanwhile
 there were some gruesome news from Saudi Arabia, the country whose princes appointed Mr. Al Jarba to lead an alternative to the Al Assad regime. Raef Badawi, the young man who started the Saudi Liberal Network had his original sentence increased to 10 years (from 7 years
) in prison plus 1000 lashes (one thousand instead of 600) and a fine of one million shekels riyals. He had been was convicted of “opposing mainstream values”, meaning being a non-conformist, as well as mocking theologian symbols. Ten years and a heavy session with the official torturer for a thousand lashes for being a “non-conformist”. The Wahhabi court also recommended that he be tried for apostasy (changing his religion from Wahhabism) which carries a sentence of death.

Cheers

mhg

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Israeli Nuclear Division: another General sets Netanyahu and U.S. Congress Straight……..

      


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“An insider in Israel’s nuclear program believes that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is employing needless fearmongering when it comes to Iran’s atomic aspirations, in order to further his own political aims. Brigadier General (res.) Uzi Eilam, who for a decade headed the Israel Atomic Energy Commission, does not believe that Tehran is even close to having a bomb, if that is even what it really aspires to. “The Iranian nuclear program will only be operational in another 10 years,” declares Eilam, a senior official in Israel’s atomic program. “Even so, I am not sure that Iran wants the bomb.”………… “

“”Has the world learned a lesson from the mistakes of the past? Today we are again faced with clear facts and before a real danger. Iran calls for our destruction, it develops nuclear weapons.” The stated links between the Holocaust and Iran showed how more than six decades later, the mass murder of Jews during World War II is still a central part of Israel’s psyche……………”

So it seems that former senior Israeli professionals who know a few things tend to discount the nuclear fear being pushed by Mr. Netanyahu. These would be retired chiefs of Mossad, AEC, Defense, etc. 

General Eilam, former head of Israel’s AEC, calls Netanyahu’s nuclear stance politicking and hence fear-mongering for political gain. Naturally the Likud and the U.S Congress, all deeply political animals more than anything else, have a different take. Mr. Netanyahu is already established as the most ‘political’ prime minister in Israeli history, which automatically marks him as the most ‘political’leader in the whole Middle East. Most Arab leaders and potentates don’t need to worry much about ‘politics’ anyway, do they?

Interesting political games have been played by players from Washington and Paris and London and Tel Aviv and Tehran. Republicans tried to influence the 2012 U.S. elections on the weight of that fear-mongering; not that congressional Democrats have been any less warmongering. Arab absolute potentates got into the game early on, secretly urging Washington (and Wikileaks?) to launch a war that would alter the ‘conventional’ balance of power, hissing that Washington must ‘cut off the head of the snake‘.
Then there are the mullahs in Iran who are also divided……….

Cheers

mhg[email protected]

 

Field Marshal Bin Technocrat and Others Congratulate King……

      


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                      Bright Field Marshal Khalifa Bin Rommel & Uncle King

“BDF Commander-in-Chief Field Marshal Shaikh Khalifa bin Ahmed Al Khalifa extended on behalf of all BDF personnel heartfelt congratulations to His Majesty King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa on the election of Lieutenant Colonel Abdul Hakim Al-Shenou as President of the International Military Sports Council (IMSC)…………..”

“His Royal Highness Prime Minister Prince Khalifa bin Salman Al Khalifa has sent a cable of congratulations to Lieutenant Colonel Abdul Hakim Al-Shenou on his election as President of the International Military Sports Council (CISM)….….”

“President of the General Organisation for Youth and Sport (GOYS) Hesham Mohammed Al-Jowdar has extended congratulations to the Kingdom’s leaders on the successive achievements by the Bahraini sports, which, he said, is the fruitful result of the outstanding conditions provided in the country. He lauded the election of Lieutenant Colonel Abdul Hakim Al-Shenou as President of the International Military Sports Council (MISC)……….”

GOYS? CISM? IMSC? MISC? WTF?

Okay buster, what is the real acronym of this whatever it is? And pray tell why are they congratulating the shaikh king because someone else was appointed to something somewhere which probably means something to him but means nothing to anybody else?
Cheers

mhg

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Cyber Warfare: Sword of Abdullah, Sword of Bo Obama, Sword of Macho Putin?………

      


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“In addition to those conventional threats is the threat of cyberwarfare. Thus, the Saudi military exercises, dubbed the “Sword of Abdullah,” included training on electronic warfare, which is no less dangerous than conventional threats. Cyberattacks could target banks, desalination plants and airports, especially since Saudi Arabia’s cyberinfrastructure is still weak and considered high risk. The cyberattack on Aramco petroleum company in 2012 has shown that anyone can access one of the most important sites of the Saudi economy. According to former US officials, Iran may have been behind the attack, which targeted 30,000 computers and caused significant losses for Aramco. US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta described the Shamoon virus, which targeted Aramco, as the most destructive attack so far. Iran’s capabilities in electronic warfare are a challenge for the Gulf states, whose electronic infrastructure is weak. A report released in April by the Institute for National Security Studies in Israel (INSS) showed that Iran has cyberwarfare capabilities that make it one of the most active players on the international scene. Last February, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei urged Iranian students to prepare for cyberwarfare…………….”

I was uncharacteristically flippant when I commented last week that “They called it “Abdullah’s Sword” possibly full of Freudian phallic symbolism. Still, isn’t that neighborly and downright sweet to call their war games after the King of Jordan?”

Since we are in the territory of suggestive macho names, let us do some comparisons.This is equivalent of the Russians calling their war games Putin’s Bare Chest (just keeping it appropriate for family news shows). Or the Americans calling theirs the Paws of Bo Obama (still beats Doo Doo of Bo Obama). Or Egyptians calling theirs suggestively Gun in the Pocket of Sisi.
Some older posts with more links on this:

Church or Hawza? Syrian Opposition Gets Its Own Tame Wahhabi Group………

      


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“Last week, 128 clerics and Islamists formed the Syrian Islamic Council (SIC) in Istanbul with a stated mission to serve as a religious authority for all Sunnis in Syria. Unlike previous Islamic councils in the country, the SIC has combined three otherwise irreconcilable Islamic currents under one canopy: Sufis, Muslim Brotherhood and Sururis. This latter component deserves a closer look. They are a hybrid movement that blends Salafism with Muslim Brotherhood ideology, while not agreeing with either. The movement incorporates Wahhabi teachings, mainly those of the “father of Salafism” Ibn Taymiyya, with the Brotherhood’s teachings, including those of Sayyid Qutb, the “father of modern fundamentalism”. Sheikh Mohammed Surur Zain Al Abedine, a former member of the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood, founded the movement in the 1970s in Saudi Arabia……………..”

This looks like an attempt to sneak in a Wahhabi “church” hierarchy into the future of Syria without saying so. A halfhearted attempt to establish a “Sunni” equivalent of the highly independent Shi’a Hawza in Najaf (Iraq) but what they seek is a highly politicized one that is subservient to the Al Saud princes. A blend of Islam and Wahhabism to keep the West and many Syrian mollified while reassuring the Al Saud potentates and moneybags. 
It will not work: Syrian Sunnis are a sophisticated bunch and will see through the machinations behind it and many will reject it. Besides, the Salafis are the least trustworthy of all Islamist groups and others will not trust them after they betrayed the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and supported the military coup last summer. 

In cases like this, usually the common denominator would be the most extreme, or the worst, depending on one’s point of view. Many Syrians (secular or religious) don’t cotton up to legally chopping heads and cutting off limbs and stoning and crucifixion in public. 
Cute, but no cigar. 

Cheers

mhg

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A Hezbollah View of the West and the Syrian War………

      


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“Head of the Syrian opposition bloc Ahmad al-Jarba failed to radically change the American stance, and Washington still rejects providing the militant groups in Syria with air defense systems, fearing the possibility that the migh fall into terrorists’ hands. Syrian opposition can only expect raising its political representation in Washington and London as well as sending weaponry batches that will not change the battlefield situation, yet aim at reaching a minimum level of the balance which would impose on the Syrian government a political process. American officials also told al-Jarba that the regular armies in the Middle East has become a strategic American necessity in the context of the anti-terror war………….”


Also
sprach Al-Manar network of Hezbollah in Lebanon, almost gleefully. No sources quoted directly or cited, just out of the blue. Maybe, but apparently the French have not heard of this new policy: they just accused the Damascus regime of using chemical weapons, for the tenth or fifteenth time.

But it makes some sense according to an increasingly  prevalent school of analytic fish: pressuring Assad and his inner circle without creating MORE chaos in Syria and Turkey and Lebanon and Jordan and Iraq and points south……….

Cheers

mhg

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Nuclear Inscrutable Iranians, PrinceTurki as a Nuclear Wandering Semite ………

      


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Inscrutable: impossible to understand or interpret. 

synonyms: enigmatic, mysterious, unreadable, inexplicable, unexplainable, incomprehensible, impenetrable, unfathomable, unknowable; opaque, abstruse, arcane, obscure, cryptic……Google

“”We have only one objective in the negotiations and that is reaching a solid, long-standing and durable agreement (over Tehran’s nuclear energy program),” French Foreign Ministry’s Director General for North Africa and the Middle-East Jean-François Girault said in a meeting with Ali Akbar Velayati, the President of Expediency Council’s Center for Strategic Research, in Tehran on Saturday. He further added that his visit to Iran is aimed at exchanging views with officials in Tehran on developments in the Middle East, particularly the situation in Iraq, Lebanon and Syria. An informed Iranian source said on Saturday that the next round of negotiations between Iran and the Group 5+1 (the five permanent UN Security Council members plus Germany) may be held in mid-June……..

The Iran nuclear talks are at a critical stage. It looks like the card dealing stage is over, all the needed cards have been dealt, and the betting is on. The bluffing stage, what I call the Poker Stage, is going on in earnest now. This is the seeing and the raising and the folding stage. Once a nuclear deal is reached between the world powers (actually the Western powers) and Iran, if a deal is reached, several things may change: 

  • Mr. Netanyahu will stop threatening to attack Iran and will change his periodic bi-weekly forecasts of a date for an Iranian nuclear bomb, pushing it back from his usual favorite of six months since 1995. 
  • Saudi Prince Turki Al Faisal Al Saud will have no need to traverse the world anymore, speechifying, threatening that his family will go nuclear if nothing is done about the Iranians. In recent years the Prince has been like a Wandering Semite (but not as pretty as a Tradescantia pallid or a Tradescantia Fluminensis). His highness has been wandering around, publicly threatening a Saudi nuclear option that apparently requires no centrifuges or physicists or chemists or yellow cake from Niger (or from the Boko Haram next door).
  • The foreign minister of Bahrain will stop telling sympathetic cooperative American journalists, mainly Washington Post columnists like David Ignatius, that “his country” (meaning his little family) will not accept a nuclear Iran.
  • The Republican nominee for president in 2016 Mr. Generic Romney will conveniently forget about Obamacare (a.k.a. ACA, a.k.a. Fait Accompli). He will promise that on his first day in office he will unilaterally cancel the nuclear agreement with Iran. He will also promise that he will never meet or talk with Hassan Rouhani until the Iranian leader shows respect by wearing a proper suit and tie “like good Christians have been doing for two thousand years“.
  • The Iranians, well, the Iranians have mastered the art of being what Westerners call inscrutable(it is not as bad nor as good as it sounds at first). That can be good or it can be bad. There was a time when only East Asians, specifically the Chinese and Japanese, were supposed to be inscrutable in Western eyes. Not anymore. And who can blame them: look where the inscrutability got the Chinese and the Japanese………
  • ACME Industries, a subsidiary of Looney Tunes, will go out of business, after losing his best two customers: the Iranian nuclear bomb program and Bibi Netanyahu. Besides, Wile E Coyote has slowed down and is on the verge of retirement.

Cheers

mhg

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Media for the Millennia: Ahram, Ahram, King Tut, King Tut……

      


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Field Marshal Al Sisi was widely quoted this week in Al Ahram and other media that the Egyptian army will not cross “our borders to attack, it will go out to help defend Arab security“. Oh goody. No need for US Navy’s Sixth or Fifth Fleets now, nor for any umbrella of any kind. Now how about the security of the Sinai and the northern borders?

Al Ahram
is back to its traditional role as mouthpiece of whoever is the strongman or ruler of Egypt. I almost suspect that in ancient times Al Ahram used to headline every day with quotes from King Tut Ankh Amon (in ancient Egyptian, well in 
hieroglyph script, instead of Arabic) or Cleopatra (in Greek). Now it quotes Generalisimo Field Marshal Al Sisi followed with a hashtag (long live Egypt – the army uber alles).

Cheers
mhg

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Tale of Two Coups: Thai Army, Egyptian Army……


      


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Digest this comparison between events in Thailand and Egypt over the past year:

  • Thai generals: depose the elected government, declare martial law, and appoint a caretaker prime minister. They deny there was a military coup.
  • Egyptian generals: overthrow elected government, throw Morsi in prison, appoint Mubarak feloul, but deny there was a military coup.
  • Thai generals; never won a modern war, as far as I know.
  • Egyptian generals: never won a war as far as they know (except the War on Pigs), but still promoted Al Sisi to Field Marshal (just like Ney, Rommel, Bernard Montgomery, Zhukov, Marshal Dillon).
  • Many men from the Middle East travel to Thailand for one and only one purpose and it ain’t to see the temples or enjoy the food. In fairness, so do many more men from Japan and Germany and other Europeans, and for the same purpose.
  • Many people from the Middle East, especially the Saudis (and other Gulf), travel to Cairo for one and only one purpose: to see the pyramids and the Sphinx and the Egyptian Museum of course. (I bet that was not what you expected me to say, was it?).
Conclusion: Thai generals must have been watching Egyptian TV and Alarabiya these past few months.Cheers

mhg

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New Hosting Platform………

      


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For
the next couple of days some, maybe all, of my posts will be hard to access. That is because I am transferring the domain site to a new hosting platform. I am doing it myself, step-by-step, so it is also a learning process for me. So bear with me and with the possible messy result for a day or two. 

Thanks