Category Archives: Uncategorized

Iran’s Baffling Holocaust Problem: a No-Win Nowruz Mystery………

      


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““A nation that is not strong will be oppressed,” Khamenei, 74, speaking from his hometown of Mashhad on the Nowruz holiday, said Friday. Iran should not count on “when the enemy will lift the sanctions,” he warned. In the most controversial of his remarks Friday, Khamenei said the West accuses Iran of restricting free expression, but in many parts of Europe and the West, Holocaust denial is against the law. “Expressing opinion about the Holocaust, or casting doubt on it, is one of the greatest sins in the West,” Khamenei said. “They prevent this, arrest the doubters, try them while claiming to be a free country.” “They passionately defend their red lines,” Khamenei said. “How do they expect us to overlook our red lines………………….”

Ali Khamenei was absolutely right about the West loving its own “red lines’ while denying them to others. But he sure picked the wrong issue to make his case.

Inserting the Holocaust into his Nowruz (Persian New Year) message, as the foreign media report, was not a smart thing nor an appropriate thing to do, and I am being painfully polite here. Former Iranian president Ahmadinejad became known for his Holocaust-baiting as for anything else, especially in the United States. He practically was seen to ‘own’ that issue. Of course he is not stupid: he knew exactly what had happened in Europe.
This has been a no-win issue for Iran and it is not clear why Ahmadinejad harped on it. I know he was available for American media appearances every September, and they hoped to make headlines by goading him: but that was fair, it is the media business. He was a leader, and should have known what was going on. That, as much as anything else, helped sell the Israeli mantra of an “existential threat”. That, as much as the nuclear issue, explains why every congressional bill and resolution that tightened the blockade on Iran passed almost unanimously in the U.S. Senate and Congress.

With
Ahmadinejad gone, Supreme Leader Khamenei seems eager to pick up the slack in Holocaust-baiting:
“Khamenei.ir ‏@khamenei_ir Mar 21: #Holocaust is an event whose reality is uncertain and if it has happened, it’s uncertain how it has happened 

Maybe the Ayatollah, an educated man who speaks several languages, is not a man of the world after all. Maybe he is not aware of the damage this absurd position does to his country. It is a silly, nay stupid issue to raise with nothing to gain for it, and it is the wrong position on principle. And it does not reflect how most Iranians feel.

When it comes to this issue, it is best for every Iranian leader, every politician, and every diplomat to just shut up. They just can’t seem to help putting their dumb feet deeper into it.Cheers

mhg

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Humorless Egyptian Junta Seeks to Set World Record for Executions………

      


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Egyptian regime courts today sentenced a whopping 529 people to death. All were charged and convicted for being supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood, the party that won Egypt’s only free elections in 2012. The Muslim Brotherhood is now considered a “terrorist” group in Egypt (and among its Saudi and UAE backers). In this Egypt under military rule is seeking to set a new Guinness record for execution, bypassing China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the USA (still including Texas). (No reliable figures are available for North Korea).

At this rate, Egypt will switch: from the most humorous Middle East country it is heading towards becoming the most humorless country not only in the Arab world, not only in the Middle East. Possibly more humorless than Jordan and Palestine and Israel and Syria and Turkey and Iran: that would be quite an achievement. If we toss Libya and Algeria to the above mix, it would be a bad miracle (you can’t get less humorous than that in all of MENA). I suspect Egypt is well on the way to becoming the most humorless country south of the Korean Peninsula. That loss of humor also may qualify Egypt for eventual GCC membership.

That tells us one other thing: the military junta kangaroo courts will also sentence deposed president Morsi to death. Unless the Saudi King or some UAE potentate issues a reprieve reducing the death sentences to life in prison.

Cheers

mhg

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Another Arab Summit: One Vacant Seat, Many Vacuous Seats………

      


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“Syria’s seat at the upcoming Arab summit will be vacant despite the attendance of Syrian opposition leader Ahmed Jarba, Ahmed Bin Helli, deputy head of the Arab League, said Friday. Speaking after a preparatory summit meeting in Kuwait City, Bin Helli said Jarba would deliver a speech at the summit – scheduled for March 25 and 26 – as a legitimate representative of Syria……………..”

This Al Jarba claims to represent the Syrian people, but they have never elected him and possibly never will if given a free choice. He was elected by the Saudi princes to rule over Syria with the grudging approval of some five-star-hotel opposition figures. He has no more claim to rule than anyone else, including Al Assad.

Come to think of it: how many of the Arab leaders or head of government at the summit were elected by their peoples? The few who were “elected” were chosen through rigged and restrictive elections. Adly Mansour Al Zombie of military-ruled Egypt was appointed by the junta to help kill off all opponents of their rule through death sentences handed by kangaroo courts. That way the generals can point te finger at Al Zombie if anyone bothers to seek justice in the future. The President of Yemen Abd Rabbuh Hadi Something was selected by outside kings and allegedly got some 98% of the vote: a close second to Kim Jong-Un. I have no idea of the presidents of Somalia and Comoros and Mauretania and how they came to power.

The only leaders who came to power through electoral processes are those from Iraq and Lebanon and Tunisia and the first two (Lebanon and Iraq) are elected through purely sectarian and ethnic divisions of power.

Cheers

mhg

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A Summit of Arab Selfies: No Eye Candy but Stiffs, Zombies, and Quasi-Zombies……….

      


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Shooting Selfie and angry FLOTUS

Can this Arab summit in Kuwait be the first Summit of Selfies?

We all saw Barack Obama with the fetching PM of Denmark (who has the non-fetching name of Helle Thorning-Schmidt) and the very non-fetching David Cameron taking selfies in South Africa. We all saw Michelle Obama looking truly pissed, and how she somehow maneuvered to end up sitting between Barack and Helle. We all saw the first Selfie Oscars a few weeks ago (Ellen DeGeneres with Brad Pitt, Angelina Jolie, Julia Robertson, etc etc).

Now Arab leaders can try to humanize themselves in the eyes of the public. A first. Most of them: a few will be hard to humanize these stiffs, especially the zombies and quasi-zombies (a majority). The rest may be considering selfie shots after each meeting. Some have suggested that all gather behind whoever is speechifying at the moment and have a few selfies sent to the people. Maybe a few potentates mouthing silently “Hi, mom“. Perhaps a few “Hi first wife; hi second wife; sorry, did I forget third wife?“. That type of thing should bring them closer to the people, at least closer to their moms and wives.

Should be interesting seeing them in selfies. But don’t expect any eye candy. Don’t expect anything ‘fetching’ to show up in any of the selfies, not a single fetching zombie or pudgy little king or military dictator.

Maybe the stiffs should invite Ellen DeGeneres to MC and choreograph the whole thing?

Cheers

mhg

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Bribes to Very Bribable Socialists: the French at the Jenadriyah Hootenanny………

      


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Some Saudi opposition groups have been writing on social media about a new Saudi deal with France. To the tune of around $20 billion. They call it a bribe to France to support (or follow) Saudi policy on Syria and Iran and Lebanon and the Gulf, among other regional issues. This is not the first time. A few months ago they announced a $3 billion of aid for Lebanese army to buy weapons from France (only from France). I commented that the Lebanese army only reflects its sectarian and ethnic composition, so it will do the Al Saud princes no good. I wrote at that time correctly that:

More important: it is part of their plan to reward the socialist government of France for making the right noises about Iran and Syria and Lebanon. In other words: it is a bribe to the French…………” I also commented on that deal in another posting right here.

I am beginning to suspect that if it were not for the wine industry (that includes champagne and cognac and armagnac and drambuie) and some ‘other amenities’, the Saudi King would publicly invite the French Republic to apply for membership in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Then M. Hollande (the very socialist) and his not-so petite amie du jour (quite chic et socialiste, tyvm) could show up in Riyadh wearing the shmagh (which I like in winter only) and waving the traditional sword and look as silly as the Prince of Wales Chuck did right here.
They’d be singing L’Internationale with the princes at the next annual Janadriyah hootenanny.

Cheers

mhg

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Democracy in Egypt in the Next Thirty Years of Sisi Square……….

      


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“Field Marshal Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said on Tuesday that Egypt is still very much on its way to building a modern democratic country that satisfies all Egyptians and meets their demands and future aspirations. According to a statement made by the army’s official spokesman, Sisi said that Egypt’s security and peace lie in an army that is strong, able and prepared to exert its utmost effort with devotion, sincerity and honor…………… He added that the army is working hard to face the challenges and that “it can do the impossible” …………..”

As he said: “it can do the impossible”. But outside the battlefield. It, the military, already has. It has killed thousands of Egyptians on the street, sentenced many hundreds to death, imprisoned tens of thousands, established kangaroo courts to terrorize political opponents, without much objection from the so-called “international community” (that being the usual joint definition for the European Union and the United States).

That besides losing almost every single foreign war it has waged, maybe with the exception of the famous War on Pigs. It has convinced enough Egyptians, especially among the delusional not-so-liberals, that Egypt will move forward by going backwards. That Mubarak-ism with all Mubarak’s cronies and minions and oligarchs and generals but without Mubarak himself is indeed revolutionary. Many foolish or simply self-serving ambitious liberals in Egypt now pretend that they believe it. Even though the generals don’t believe it, nor do their financiers in the Gulf (otherwise they would not finance them).

I wonder what we (or whoever is around) would be saying, thirty years from now, when Egyptians take to Tahrir Square (maybe with a new name: Sisi Square) to demand departure of the dictator.

Cheers

mhg

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From the Persian Gulf to Syria: Salafi Trade in Money, Hatred, and Violence………

      


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“A massacre was committed in the village of Hatla in Deir al-Zour’s countryside last June in which 60 victims were killed, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights………. Sheikh Shafi al-Ajami boasted of “slaughtering Shias with knives” amidst cheers and cries of “God is great.” Saudi, Qatari and Kuwaiti media outlets celebrated the massacre each in its own way. When a journalist from Asia News Agency asked Ajami a few days later “if he feared that the Kuwaiti authorities might arrest him,” he replied: “This is an issue that concerns me and the Kuwaiti authorities,” who did not lift a finger. After its dispute with the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Kuwaiti Salafis played a central role in funding al-Nusra Front. The nature of the relationship between the two sides changed from implementing specific missions and getting paid for them, like the Hatla massacre, to ongoing funding and supervision. A jihadi source told Al-Akhbar that “al-Ummah Party under the leadership of Hakim al-Mutairi is now active in financing and directing al-Nusra Front.”………… The Council of Supporters is one such initiative. Its formation was declared in December 2012 and it includes clerics, activists and former MPs such as Mohammed Hayef (Al-Mutairi)………………”

I don’t recall the Gulf mainstream media ‘celebrating’ the massacre in Hatla. Maybe I missed it, but I doubt that they’d do that. Mainstream Gulf media would not usually go that far that openly, maybe with the exception of some outlets in Saudi Arabia. Some media may have covered the incident, but probably celebrated ‘politely’ just as a victory against Al-Assad. I think the writer means some of the sectarian satellite television channels, the social media, and the blogs.

Interesting how it goes, though. This has been going on since the spring of 2011, when Persian Gulf Salafis (and Muslim Brothers) hijacked the Syrian protests. The Muslim Brotehrs are being eased out by the Saudis and their Wahhabi and tribal surrogates. Now the Jihadist-tribal alliance own this Syrian terrorist enterprise that seeks to ‘liberate’ Syria not for its people, but for the Wahhabi cause.

I posted several times on this last year here:

The Economics of Jihad in Syria: Kuwaiti Opposition Estimates

From the Gulf with Wahhabi Love: Money to Al-Qaeda

Lost in the Desert: My Possible New Salafi Honorific

Kuwait Constitutional Court Ruling: a Tough Dilemma for the Tribal Islamist Opposition

Banning Demonstrations in Bahrain: Advice from the Kuwait Opposition

Cheers

mhg

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WTF is ‘the International Community’? Confusion between IC and NIC and Chopped Liver………

      


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Notice how the term ‘International Community” (IC) is being bandied about in recent years? I mean how it is most likely being abused by everyone? Every side in a conflict seeks to claim that the IC supports it, even if it is not true. Both sides can’t be correct on this one, or maybe they can? Which means in most (but not all) cases it is ‘in the eye of the beholder’. Here are two examples:


“Opposition Syrian National Coalition chief Ahmed Jarba repeated calls on the international community to supply rebels with “sophisticated weapons” as the two-day summit opened….”

“Secretary of State John Kerry noted that the international community has condemned Russian annexation of Crimea….”

  • This last statement is technically not true, although CNN and other media repeat it a few times every day. As do a bunch of senators and European politicians. There is no Security Council resolution yet. The European Union is really only a small but rich part of the world community (IC), as is the USA. Even Canada, eh?
  • This claim, this deliberately vague definition of “International Community” (or IC) probably makes the Chinese (all 1.6 billion of them) and the Russians (all 200+ million of them), maybe also the Indians (all 1.2+ billion of them) look around in wonder: “Who is that? And what are we? Chopped liver?” 
  • Clearly it is not a reference to the UN:
    When Syrian rebels and their Arab allies refer to IC, they mean the West (not Russia, nor China, nor India, nor many others). But maybe these ‘others’ don’t count. 
  • Normally IC has been extensively mostly used to mean only: Europe, North America, Japan? (Did I leave out Taiwan and Canada?): 700 million people, rises to 1.5 billion with some other countries added? 
  • Excluding Not IC (NIC): China, Russia, India, ROW? that would be bout 3-4 billion humans who don’t count, ThankYouVeryMuch.
  • Some countries are too absorbed in their own problems to count (wars, civil strife, etc), to be IC or NIC. Apparently by sheer number NIC has more people than IC. Ah, but IC has larger economic muscle than NIC and better media.
  • So, which one to use? IC or NIC? That is the question. It depends on your point of view, which side you are on, if any. 
Cheers

mhg
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Blood-Soaked Egypt Goes Chilean, Circa 1973: Generalisimo and Junta, No habla Español………

      


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“Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, the general who ousted Egypt’s first freely elected leader, declared his candidacy on Wednesday for a presidential election he is expected to easily win. Sisi toppled Mohamed Mursi of the Muslim Brotherhood last July after mass protests against his rule and has emerged as the most influential figure in an interim administration that has governed since then. “I am here before you humbly stating my intention to run for the presidency of the Arab Republic of Egypt,” Sisi said in a televised address to the nation. “Only your support will grant me this great honor.” A Sisi presidency would mark a return to the days when Egypt was led by men from the military, a pattern briefly interrupted by Mursi’s one year in office after his 2012 victory in Egypt’s first democratic presidential election……………”

The Generalisimo Field Marshal Al Sisi, having declared his candidacy, is now leader of Egypt in name as well as in fact. I know he has not been elected yet. Is there any doubt that he will be named the ‘elected’ president of Egypt after coming sham elections in which only the ‘faithful’, the terrified, and the sycophant will get to speak and vote?

Unlike Nasser or even Sadat or even the somnolent Mubarak (most Arabs called him La Vache Qui Rite), he is coming to power in style, with a real loud blood-soaked bang. His apparent example seems to be someone between Augusto Pinochet of Chile (later pal of Margaret Thatcher) and the generals who overthrew Isabel Peron in Argentina in the 1970s. He is veering more toward Pinochet right now, with all the killings on the streets and in the execution rooms. Not to mention those who die of natural causes in custody. Many will also start disappearing now that the old apparatus of State Security is back in force.

He is also very likely condemning his country to a perpetual state of  civil war, a state of political terrorism that matches the state terrorism he has imposed since July 3, 2012, when he overthrew the incompetent and (also) reactionary but freely elected Morsi. (It is true that Morsi was a schmuck, but he was an elected schmuck).

But he has promises of money and investments and even weapons from the Arab Counter-Revolutionary Counter-Democracy camp. You know where that camp is, and if you don’t know then explain where you have been for the past few years.

Cheers
mhg

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From Qambiz to Ptolemy to Sisi and the Shaikhs: Political Bread in Egypt………

      


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“Egypt’s army is taking charge of billions of dollars of development aid from the United Arab Emirates, an army official said, raising further doubts over the narrow separation of powers with the military backed administration in place since July. One of several Gulf states to shower Egypt with cash and petroleum products after the army ousted elected Muslim Brotherhood president Mohammed Mursi, the UAE also looked ahead, seeking to bolster a system that could keep Islamists it sees as an existential threat from running the most populous Arab state. Alongside money to build clinics, schools and housing units, it offered to fund a project in Egypt’s strategic wheat sector–the construction of 25 wheat silos that could help the world’s biggest importer of the commodity lower its huge food bill. Bread is a politically-explosive issue in Egypt …………….”

At some point in ancient history Egypt was a breadbasket for Europe, it supplied grain and other foods to the Roman Empire. The Romans from Caesar to Anthony to Augustus coveted it for what it produced, not because they liked to visit the pyramids. As earlier did the Hyksos then the Persians then the Greeks (and Macedonians). Egypt continued to be a food-rich land for many centuries after that. Not anymore, not with the population explosion of the past few decades.

Bread (food in general) has been a politically-explosive issue in Egypt for thousands of years. The Ptolemies (Ptolemy I to Cleopatra) in Alexandria faced occasional bread riots. Probably the Pharaohs did as well. Egyptian rioters were polite (someone rude might say ‘stupid’) even in those old days: they usually made the mistake of overthrowing one Ptolemy in favor of another Ptolemy. No real change was sought: sounds familiar?

No wonder they have had only one elected leader in thousands of years, and he was overthrown in 2013 in favor of the old regime that was overthrown in 2011. Go figure.

Cheers

mhg

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