Cyber Warfare: Sword of Abdullah, Sword of Bo Obama, Sword of Macho Putin?………

      


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“In addition to those conventional threats is the threat of cyberwarfare. Thus, the Saudi military exercises, dubbed the “Sword of Abdullah,” included training on electronic warfare, which is no less dangerous than conventional threats. Cyberattacks could target banks, desalination plants and airports, especially since Saudi Arabia’s cyberinfrastructure is still weak and considered high risk. The cyberattack on Aramco petroleum company in 2012 has shown that anyone can access one of the most important sites of the Saudi economy. According to former US officials, Iran may have been behind the attack, which targeted 30,000 computers and caused significant losses for Aramco. US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta described the Shamoon virus, which targeted Aramco, as the most destructive attack so far. Iran’s capabilities in electronic warfare are a challenge for the Gulf states, whose electronic infrastructure is weak. A report released in April by the Institute for National Security Studies in Israel (INSS) showed that Iran has cyberwarfare capabilities that make it one of the most active players on the international scene. Last February, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei urged Iranian students to prepare for cyberwarfare…………….”

I was uncharacteristically flippant when I commented last week that “They called it “Abdullah’s Sword” possibly full of Freudian phallic symbolism. Still, isn’t that neighborly and downright sweet to call their war games after the King of Jordan?”

Since we are in the territory of suggestive macho names, let us do some comparisons.This is equivalent of the Russians calling their war games Putin’s Bare Chest (just keeping it appropriate for family news shows). Or the Americans calling theirs the Paws of Bo Obama (still beats Doo Doo of Bo Obama). Or Egyptians calling theirs suggestively Gun in the Pocket of Sisi.
Some older posts with more links on this:

Church or Hawza? Syrian Opposition Gets Its Own Tame Wahhabi Group………

      


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“Last week, 128 clerics and Islamists formed the Syrian Islamic Council (SIC) in Istanbul with a stated mission to serve as a religious authority for all Sunnis in Syria. Unlike previous Islamic councils in the country, the SIC has combined three otherwise irreconcilable Islamic currents under one canopy: Sufis, Muslim Brotherhood and Sururis. This latter component deserves a closer look. They are a hybrid movement that blends Salafism with Muslim Brotherhood ideology, while not agreeing with either. The movement incorporates Wahhabi teachings, mainly those of the “father of Salafism” Ibn Taymiyya, with the Brotherhood’s teachings, including those of Sayyid Qutb, the “father of modern fundamentalism”. Sheikh Mohammed Surur Zain Al Abedine, a former member of the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood, founded the movement in the 1970s in Saudi Arabia……………..”

This looks like an attempt to sneak in a Wahhabi “church” hierarchy into the future of Syria without saying so. A halfhearted attempt to establish a “Sunni” equivalent of the highly independent Shi’a Hawza in Najaf (Iraq) but what they seek is a highly politicized one that is subservient to the Al Saud princes. A blend of Islam and Wahhabism to keep the West and many Syrian mollified while reassuring the Al Saud potentates and moneybags. 
It will not work: Syrian Sunnis are a sophisticated bunch and will see through the machinations behind it and many will reject it. Besides, the Salafis are the least trustworthy of all Islamist groups and others will not trust them after they betrayed the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and supported the military coup last summer. 

In cases like this, usually the common denominator would be the most extreme, or the worst, depending on one’s point of view. Many Syrians (secular or religious) don’t cotton up to legally chopping heads and cutting off limbs and stoning and crucifixion in public. 
Cute, but no cigar. 

Cheers

mhg

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A Hezbollah View of the West and the Syrian War………

      


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“Head of the Syrian opposition bloc Ahmad al-Jarba failed to radically change the American stance, and Washington still rejects providing the militant groups in Syria with air defense systems, fearing the possibility that the migh fall into terrorists’ hands. Syrian opposition can only expect raising its political representation in Washington and London as well as sending weaponry batches that will not change the battlefield situation, yet aim at reaching a minimum level of the balance which would impose on the Syrian government a political process. American officials also told al-Jarba that the regular armies in the Middle East has become a strategic American necessity in the context of the anti-terror war………….”


Also
sprach Al-Manar network of Hezbollah in Lebanon, almost gleefully. No sources quoted directly or cited, just out of the blue. Maybe, but apparently the French have not heard of this new policy: they just accused the Damascus regime of using chemical weapons, for the tenth or fifteenth time.

But it makes some sense according to an increasingly  prevalent school of analytic fish: pressuring Assad and his inner circle without creating MORE chaos in Syria and Turkey and Lebanon and Jordan and Iraq and points south……….

Cheers

mhg

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Nuclear Inscrutable Iranians, PrinceTurki as a Nuclear Wandering Semite ………

      


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Inscrutable: impossible to understand or interpret. 

synonyms: enigmatic, mysterious, unreadable, inexplicable, unexplainable, incomprehensible, impenetrable, unfathomable, unknowable; opaque, abstruse, arcane, obscure, cryptic……Google

“”We have only one objective in the negotiations and that is reaching a solid, long-standing and durable agreement (over Tehran’s nuclear energy program),” French Foreign Ministry’s Director General for North Africa and the Middle-East Jean-François Girault said in a meeting with Ali Akbar Velayati, the President of Expediency Council’s Center for Strategic Research, in Tehran on Saturday. He further added that his visit to Iran is aimed at exchanging views with officials in Tehran on developments in the Middle East, particularly the situation in Iraq, Lebanon and Syria. An informed Iranian source said on Saturday that the next round of negotiations between Iran and the Group 5+1 (the five permanent UN Security Council members plus Germany) may be held in mid-June……..

The Iran nuclear talks are at a critical stage. It looks like the card dealing stage is over, all the needed cards have been dealt, and the betting is on. The bluffing stage, what I call the Poker Stage, is going on in earnest now. This is the seeing and the raising and the folding stage. Once a nuclear deal is reached between the world powers (actually the Western powers) and Iran, if a deal is reached, several things may change: 

  • Mr. Netanyahu will stop threatening to attack Iran and will change his periodic bi-weekly forecasts of a date for an Iranian nuclear bomb, pushing it back from his usual favorite of six months since 1995. 
  • Saudi Prince Turki Al Faisal Al Saud will have no need to traverse the world anymore, speechifying, threatening that his family will go nuclear if nothing is done about the Iranians. In recent years the Prince has been like a Wandering Semite (but not as pretty as a Tradescantia pallid or a Tradescantia Fluminensis). His highness has been wandering around, publicly threatening a Saudi nuclear option that apparently requires no centrifuges or physicists or chemists or yellow cake from Niger (or from the Boko Haram next door).
  • The foreign minister of Bahrain will stop telling sympathetic cooperative American journalists, mainly Washington Post columnists like David Ignatius, that “his country” (meaning his little family) will not accept a nuclear Iran.
  • The Republican nominee for president in 2016 Mr. Generic Romney will conveniently forget about Obamacare (a.k.a. ACA, a.k.a. Fait Accompli). He will promise that on his first day in office he will unilaterally cancel the nuclear agreement with Iran. He will also promise that he will never meet or talk with Hassan Rouhani until the Iranian leader shows respect by wearing a proper suit and tie “like good Christians have been doing for two thousand years“.
  • The Iranians, well, the Iranians have mastered the art of being what Westerners call inscrutable(it is not as bad nor as good as it sounds at first). That can be good or it can be bad. There was a time when only East Asians, specifically the Chinese and Japanese, were supposed to be inscrutable in Western eyes. Not anymore. And who can blame them: look where the inscrutability got the Chinese and the Japanese………
  • ACME Industries, a subsidiary of Looney Tunes, will go out of business, after losing his best two customers: the Iranian nuclear bomb program and Bibi Netanyahu. Besides, Wile E Coyote has slowed down and is on the verge of retirement.

Cheers

mhg

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Media for the Millennia: Ahram, Ahram, King Tut, King Tut……

      


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Field Marshal Al Sisi was widely quoted this week in Al Ahram and other media that the Egyptian army will not cross “our borders to attack, it will go out to help defend Arab security“. Oh goody. No need for US Navy’s Sixth or Fifth Fleets now, nor for any umbrella of any kind. Now how about the security of the Sinai and the northern borders?

Al Ahram
is back to its traditional role as mouthpiece of whoever is the strongman or ruler of Egypt. I almost suspect that in ancient times Al Ahram used to headline every day with quotes from King Tut Ankh Amon (in ancient Egyptian, well in 
hieroglyph script, instead of Arabic) or Cleopatra (in Greek). Now it quotes Generalisimo Field Marshal Al Sisi followed with a hashtag (long live Egypt – the army uber alles).

Cheers
mhg

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Tale of Two Coups: Thai Army, Egyptian Army……


      


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Digest this comparison between events in Thailand and Egypt over the past year:

  • Thai generals: depose the elected government, declare martial law, and appoint a caretaker prime minister. They deny there was a military coup.
  • Egyptian generals: overthrow elected government, throw Morsi in prison, appoint Mubarak feloul, but deny there was a military coup.
  • Thai generals; never won a modern war, as far as I know.
  • Egyptian generals: never won a war as far as they know (except the War on Pigs), but still promoted Al Sisi to Field Marshal (just like Ney, Rommel, Bernard Montgomery, Zhukov, Marshal Dillon).
  • Many men from the Middle East travel to Thailand for one and only one purpose and it ain’t to see the temples or enjoy the food. In fairness, so do many more men from Japan and Germany and other Europeans, and for the same purpose.
  • Many people from the Middle East, especially the Saudis (and other Gulf), travel to Cairo for one and only one purpose: to see the pyramids and the Sphinx and the Egyptian Museum of course. (I bet that was not what you expected me to say, was it?).
Conclusion: Thai generals must have been watching Egyptian TV and Alarabiya these past few months.Cheers

mhg

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New Hosting Platform………

      


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For
the next couple of days some, maybe all, of my posts will be hard to access. That is because I am transferring the domain site to a new hosting platform. I am doing it myself, step-by-step, so it is also a learning process for me. So bear with me and with the possible messy result for a day or two. 

Thanks 

Economics of Terrorism in Iraq and Syria: Follow the Money if You Can………

      


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“The extremist group that is threatening the existence of the Iraqi state was built and grown for years with the help of elite donors from American supposed allies in the Persian Gulf region……….. But in the years they were getting started, a key component of ISIS’s support came from wealthy individuals in the Arab Gulf States of Kuwait, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Sometimes the support came with the tacit nod of approval from those regimes; often, it took advantage of poor money laundering protections in those states, according to officials, experts, and leaders of the Syrian opposition, which is fighting ISIS as well as the regime. “Everybody knows the money is going through Kuwait and that it’s coming from the Arab Gulf,” said Andrew Tabler, senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Studies. “Kuwait’s banking system and its money changers have long been a huge problem because they are a major conduit for money to extremist groups in Syria and now Iraq.”…………..”


The money
, it all comes down to the money. Any army or militia needs a source of money: zealotry alone is useless. God will surely not help an army or militia that is flat broke. Thousands of Wahhabi terrorists in Iraq and Syria would not function long without money, a lot of money. It is not money from captured oil fields in Iraq and Syria. It is not from taxes in impoverished western Iraqi regions. It is not locally printed money. It is not from ransoms paid for hostages: most of the hostages are poor pilgrims or soldiers who can’t afford a ransom. It is hard currency, mainly U.S. dollars. I have posted on this in the past, more than once. Yet nobody seems able to discover the exact source and route of the money. Correction: we can guess the sources of the money, but nobody wants to come out and say it publicly and do something effective about it. And who has that kind of money, to spend many millions without having to get anyone’s approval?

 

In the case of Kuwait the writer exaggerates: it has been the pro-Wahhabi elements of the private sector that aid and abet the Jihadis, rather than the government. In the case of Qatar and Saudi Arabia (and possibly the UAE) the situation is different: the princes and potentates started throwing money and weapons at the Jihadis in Syria early on. Some of the same princes and potentates are still at it, financing the terrorists even as official policy seems to be against it. Instability in Iraq has always been part of the strategy of the princes and oil potentates.………… 



Here
is what I posted one year ago about The Economics of Jihad in Syria
:



“Local Kuwait media report that the tribal Islamist opposition has called for a mobilization for war in Syria (they called it for Jihad in Syria). A bunch of former opposition tribal Islamist MP’s held a sort of tribal charity ball but stag, a large gathering of men to start a campaign to raise money to equip and arm 12 thousand ghazis (ghazi is Arabic for invader, raider, meaning here Jihadi) for Syria. They have called for every family (that listens to them) to equip and arm one Mujahid to go to Syria to fight. One of them suggested that 700 Dinars (about US $2400) would prepare and send a Jihadis to battle in Syria. (No idea if this amount covers one or multiple multiple wives). That of course does not cover the current cost of operations: food, bullets, shelter, bribes, booze, weed, women, etc. All that minus current revenues: whatever can be looted as war booty or obtained as ransom for hostages the FSA and Jihadist militias like to take (they are avid hostage-takers and are still holding two Christian bishops and two other priests hostage, in addition to many Alawis and Shi’as). Some of the well-heeled tribal Islamists at the gathering contributed new non-Islamist cars. One gave a new heathen-made Chevrolet Suburban, another donated a new infidel-made Mercedes-Benz. One former member of parliament got a family to pay for the arming and equipping 28 ghazis (raiders or Jihadis) for Syria. Another former member deposited funds to cover three Jihadis………………”
If $2,400 will send one terrorist fighter to Syria or Iraq. One thousand jihadis would cost $ 2.4 million (as a starting fixed cost, not counting current expenses). Add all other expenses over time, and you do the rest of the math. Take into consideration that the $2,400 might just be a ‘teaser’, a hook, to get things started.
Cheers
mhg

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Egypt Salafi Leader Bans World Cup, Urges ‘Funner’ Diversions…….

      


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“Vice-Chief of the Salafi Dawa Yasser Borhamy has issued a religious edict, saying that Muslims are forbidden from watching football matches in the World Cup as it could be seen as admiring disbelievers. In his edict posted on Ana Salafi, the official website of the Salafi Dawa, Borhamy said, “the World Cup matches distract Muslims from performing their [religioius] duties. They include forbidden things that could break the fast in Ramadan as well as others fobidden in Islam like intolerance and wasting time. Football lovers like disbelievers of foreign teams’ players and others, which is rejected.” Borhamy also called on football lovers to focus on their religion and stay away from such forbidden things……………”
FYI: he was kidding when he said that intolerance is forbidden (it is, but not for Salafis).

The shaggy Salafi leader was asked: “In that case what can we do in the evenings for fun instead?“.
He is reported by my eccentric reporter to have winked, cracked a lascivious smile, and replied: “If you need me to tell you about fun, then you are as hopeless as a Shi’a in Mosul“.

Then he added: “There is at least one other thing that is ‘funner’ than watching a bunch of other guys kicking a FIFA ball around“.
Cheers
mhg

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New Muslim Zeitgeist: Iraq and Saudi Arabia Wage a Sectarian War………

      


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لماذا يموت العراقي حتى يؤدي الرسالة؟؟ 

و أهل الصحارى سكارى وما هم بسكارى ؟؟ 

يحبون قنص الطيور ولحم الغزال ولحم الحبارى !! 

لماذا يموت العراقي والآخرون يغنون هندا ويستعطفون نوارا ؟؟ 

 

“Iraqi government on Tuesday accused Saudi Arabia of financing terrorism committed by Takfiri insurgents of the so-called Islamic State in Iraq and Levant, a day after Riyadh blamed “sectarian” policies by Baghdad. Comments from Riyadh indicates it is “siding with terrorism”, the cabinet said in a statement issued by Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s office.
“We strongly condemn this stance,” the statement read. “We hold it (Saudi Arabia) responsible for what these groups are receiving in terms of financial and moral support.”
“The Saudi government should be held responsible for the dangerous crimes committed by these terrorist groups,” the statement continued. Earlier on Monday, Saudi Arabia and Qatar blamed “sectarian” policies by Iraq’s government for the unrest that has swept the country………………”

That came one day after Saudi media quoted King Abdullah, from an undisclosed location in Morocco, ordering his cabinet to call Iraq ‘sectarian’, and demand they change their sectarian policies of the past few years. No doubt Iraq has become much more sectarian over the past ten years, but I have three points about that:


  • Now we are all sectarians, from Shi’a-dominated Iraq to Wahhabi-dominated Saudi Arabia to military-dominated Egypt. Even places like Morocco that can’t tell a Shi’a from a plate of coucous are going sectarian. That is an unfortunate spirit of our time, our Zeitgeist. In the sense that we are now all so aware of each other’s sect and wary of it. So aware and wary that it affects our behavior and our opinions on regional issues. It even affects how we respond to politics in our blog comments (take my blogs for example).

  • Nobody is as responsible for the worsening of sectarianism in our region, and inside Iraq and Syria and the rest of the Gulf, as the Saudi princes and their media and their policies. That is why they have spent billions of acquiring Arab media outlets, which they dominate now. That is how they keep the allegiance of their (Wahhabi) people, by raising the specter of a Shi’a threat. That is why they keep and pamper their palace clerics: they come in very handy in issuing appropriate fatwas.

  • There is sectarianism in Iraq, but it pales compared to sectarianism in Saudi Arabia. Iraq is not nearly as sectarian as Saudi Arabia where it is institutionalized in the bureaucracy and in the theocracy. At least all Iraqi sects get to vote in elections: nobody except the princes in their palaces gets to vote in Saudi Arabia. Besides, the percentage of Shi’as (among citizens) in the Kingdom Without Magic is close to the percentage of (Arab) Sunnis in Iraq, yet there is no minister, deputy minister, or even a deputy to an assistant to a deputy minister (possibly not even a proverbial official dog-catcher) who is Shi’a in the kingdom.



Cheers
mhg

[email protected]