August 1953. A military coup was staged in Iran against elected prime minister Dr. Mohammed Mossadeq. The coup was engineered and plotted by the CIA and British MI6. It also started with protests and riots on the street, all paid for by the two major Western powers of that time. The Issues? Mossadeq had rightly nationalized Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (later became NIOC and British Petroleum BP). The British Empire wanted him punished for nationalizing Iranian oil, and the American cousins were convinced by the Brits that Mossadeq was some secret communist. That was the basis for Operation Ajax (the American name for it). How stupid can you get? The Shah had flown to Rome before the coup, as part of the plot. Later the Shah’s daughter Princess Shahnaz (his daughter from Egyptian Princess Fawzia) was reportedly married to the son of General Zahedi who led the coup. Mossadeq was arrested, jailed, then spent the rest of his life under house arrest.
July 2013. Now in Egypt. It is not the CIA or MI6 anymore that buys or tries to buy the military. The petroleum potentates of the Persian Gulf are richer than the CIA and MI6 combined, in terms of free resources that do not require budgetary approval. The ruling families of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have deep pockets. They tried early to buy the Egyptian revolution of 2011 by offering billions of dollars in aid. When the elections went ahead and the Muslim Brotherhood (M won, the aid money never showed up.
Now the military coup staged by the remnants of the Mubarak regime (his feloul) gives the shaikhs and princes another chance at Egypt. The feloul that staged or helped the coup in Egypt are: (1) the military of Mubarak led by General Sisi, (2) the court system of Mubarak’s appointees, (3) Al Azhar led and staffed by Mubarak appointees, and (4) the formidable government bureaucracy staffed for 30 years by Mubarak. The MB had no chance. Two other groups aided and abetted: (a) the liberal secularists of Tamarod and (b) the Coptic Church leadership. But these two groups will most likely be left out of real influence in favor of the Salafists who opportunistically betrayed their MB allies and joined the coup-makers. Morsi, like Mossadeq is in prison and may his enemies no doubt wish for him to spend the rest of his life under house arrest.
Egypt did not have a shah to return to power. It has the military which has been in power for decades. The military has asserted its role as the supreme leader of Egypt. Whoever is elected will be second or third banana. End of the story? Unlikely, given the political base of the Islamists in Egypt. I can only see turmoil and trouble in the months ahead.
Cheers
mhg