Is a New Persian Gulf War Imminent? Maybe Not.........

   
  
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MANAMA: Israel is massing warplanes in the Caucasus for an attack on Iran, it was revealed yesterday. Preparations are underway to launch the military attack from Azerbaijan and Georgia, reports our sister paper Akhbar Al Khaleej, quoting military sources. Israel was, in fact, training pilots in Turkey to launch the strike and was smuggling planes into Georgia using Turkish airspace, they said. However, Turkey was unaware of Israel's intention of transferring the planes to Georgia, the sources said. The unexpected crisis between Israel and Turkey following an Israeli commando raid on an aid flotilla bound for Gaza Strip hit Israeli calculations. Azerbaijan-based intelligence units, working under the cover of technicians, trainers and consultants, have helped with the preparations, the sources said. Military equipment, mostly supplied by the US, was transported to a Georgian port via the Black Sea. Georgian coastguard and Israeli controllers are co-operating to hide the operations from Russian vessels, said the sources. They point out that according to Israel, it will not be in a position to launch a strike on Iran without using bases in Georgia and Azerbaijan due to the limited capabilities of its nuclear submarines stationed near the Iranian coast…….

More rumors of war. I doubt that they can hide anything in the former Soviet Republics from the Russian intelligence services. The idea that Israel will not be able to launch an attack on Iran without use of some foreign territory is understood: it is obvious. But are the governments of Azerbaijan and Georgia that stupid and that desperate to allow that? I have strong doubts about Azerbaijan taking that kind of risk, given its geography.
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