Iraq Vote Results: Biggest Ba'athist Upset or Biggest Forgery? Rove and Costa Rica........
Alliance of Former Ba’athists Edges al-Maliki Coalition
al-Maliki website posts the returns but calls them: the biggest forgery in history!
I shall not join them, although it seems slightly fishy. But no matter who won the most seats, the other side would have cried foul. It is possible Karl Rove may have volunteered his services to the Iraqiya alliance, he is good at snatching victory from the jaws of electoral defeat. But then, after seeing him on Fox News, I have concluded that a big head is not a sign of intelligence.
Seat breakdown:
Iraqiya: Allawi and mostly former Ba’athists: 91 seats
State of Law: Al-Maliki and allies (mostly Shi’as): 89 seats
Iraq National Alliance (INA): ISCI, Sadrists, etc (mostly Shi’as): 70 seats
Kurdish blocs: 43 seats
- Al-Maliki can rely on his own allies (89 seats) and perhaps the Kurds (43 seats)
- Allawi can rely on his own alliance: Kurds (43 seats) suspect his allies, as do INA (70 seats), but deals are ‘possible, if Allawi himself accepts not being PM, which he thinks he is entitled to.
- INA (70 seats) will make deals but trusts neither al-Maliki nor Allawi at the top.
- Realistically: both al-Maliki and Allawi will probably be out, neither of them should be entitled. Allawi may have a constitutional issue as well that bars him (something with his mother being Lebanese while the constitution specifies both parents of a PM being Iraqi born).
Cheers
mhg
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